对于新研舰船动态系统，通常部件故障数据难以获取，往往只能依靠专家的模糊语言判断。为克服定性判断对舰船系统可靠性定量评估的困扰，本文提出一种基于专家综合评估的模糊动态故障树分析方法，该方法将专家语言信息转化为定量数据信息，并对众多专家的不同意见进行了综合，进而对舰船系统进行可靠性评估。
For new shipdynamic system, the component failure data is often difficult to obtain, and depends on the experts fuzzy language judgment. In order to overcome the problem for shipsystem quantitative assessment, a new Fuzzy Dynamic Fault Tree Analysis method is proposed based on Expert Comprehensive Evaluation, which transforms experts language information into quantitative data, and synthesize expert opinions to evaluate shipsystem reliability.
2019,41(10): 192-197 收稿日期：2019-07-04
DOI：10.3404/j.issn.1672-7649.2019.10.038
分类号：TB114
作者简介：李佩昌(1992-),男,工程师,研究方向为舰船综合保障技术
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