大型舰船舱室结构复杂，易燃易爆品多，火灾载荷密度大，火灾已成为影响大型舰船生命力和战斗力的主要因素。针对灭火指挥决策面临的火灾识别确定性、模拟预测准确性、决策方案实时性等问题，提出了灭火指挥实时决策的设计思想，给出了舱室火灾贝叶斯网络识别模型、火灾发展区域模拟预测模型、灭火决策方案综合推理方法等实时决策的方法和模型，战损案例验证了方法的合理性和有效性。旨在提升舰上损管监控系统的智能化水平，增强指挥决策反应能力。
As capital ships have complex structure of compartments, a great amount of inflammables and explosives and high fire load density. Compartment fire becomes the main factor of threatening the survivability and combat effectiveness of capital ships. In most previous work, there are some problems for firefighting command of navy ships such as the validity of fire recognition, the accuracy of simulation prediction, and the real-time of fire decision plan. Firstly, design philosophy of compartment fire real-time decision making of capital ships is proposed. Secondly, intelligent identification technology, fire simulation technology, and synthesis reasoning method are discussed. Lastly, the applicability and validity of the real-time decision model are verified by an application example. The research can promote intelligent level of damage control supervisory control system, which can further enhance the ability of commanding decision response to resist the threat by the ships.
2022,44(5): 50-53 收稿日期：2021-08-19
DOI：10.3404/j.issn.1672-7649.2022.05.010
分类号：U674.7
作者简介：谢田华(1976?)，男，讲师，研究方向为舰船安全保障与防护
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