为了快速、精确地掌握舰船装备的技术状态,需要对其进行技术状态评估。但是,目前对舰船装备技术状态评估的研究还不够完善,现行的评估方法并不能完全、精确地反映舰船装备的真实情况,存在着一定的不足与局限。舰船装备技术状态评估有其自身的特点与难点,且评估过程中存在较大的不确定性。在众多的评估方法中,D-S证据理论能够较好地融合多个指标,处理不知道何因引起的不确定性,因此针对舰船装备技术状态评估的复杂性与不确定性,建立基于D-S证据理论的舰船装备技术状态评估模型,以便准确地掌握舰船装备的技术状态。
In order to accurately grasp the technical status of the warship equipment, it is necessary to evaluate the technical status of the warship. However, the current research on the technical status evaluation of the warship equipment is not perfect. The current evaluation method cannot completely and accurately reflect the real situation of the equipment, and there are some deficiencies and limitations. The technical status evaluation of warship equipment has its own characteristics and difficulties, and the large uncertainty in the evaluation process. Among many evaluation methods, the D-S evidence theory is able to fuse multi-source evidence and deal with uncertainty caused by ignorance. Therefore, in view of the complexity and uncertainty of the technical state evaluation of warship equipment, this paper presents a research on the evaluation method of technical status of warship equipment based on D-S evidence theory, to accurately grasp the technical status of warship equipment.
2022,44(8): 178-181 收稿日期:2021-09-03
DOI:10.3404/j.issn.1672-7649.2022.08.038
分类号:TP317.4
作者简介:赵军(1977-),男,高级工程师,研究方向为装备监测诊断
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