在一定假设条件下，建立基于冲击的舰炮设备可靠性模型，分析其可靠度函数与故障率的变化特点，提出综合使用性能退化信息与故障信息对设备可靠性模型中的相关参数进行估计的可靠性评估方法。最后，结合实例说明了该模型刻画舰炮设备可靠性规律的适应性与评估方法的有效性。
Under certain assumptions, the reliability model of naval gun equipment based on impact factors is established. The features of reliability functions and failure rates are analyzed and the reliability evaluation method is put forward. In the reliability evaluation method, the parameters in the equipment reliability model are estimated by using the performance degradation information and the fault information. Finally, an example is given to illustrate the applicability of the model and the effectiveness of the evaluation method in characterizing the reliability of naval gun equipment.
2022,44(14): 165-169 收稿日期：2022-01-26
DOI：10.3404/j.issn.1672-7649.2022.13.035
分类号：TB114.3
基金项目：海军研制项目
作者简介：朱菡(1987-)，女，硕士，工程师，主要研究方向为舰炮设计
参考文献：
[1] 翟亚利. 维修条件下的舰船装备性能退化可靠性建模及其应用研究[D]. 武汉: 海军工程大学, 2019
[2] JI H C, LEE E Y. An extended stochastic failure model for a system subject to random shocks[J]. Operations Research Letters. 2010, 38(5): 468-473.
[3] J. A. M VAN DER W, PANDEY M D. Stochastic analysis of shock process and modeling of condition-based maintenance[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety. 2011(96): 619-626.
[4] LU J C, PARK J, YANG Q. Statistical inference of a time-to-failure distribution derived from linear degradation data[J]. Technometrics, 1997, 39: 391–400
[5] MARLOW D R, BEALE D J, MASHFORD J S. Risk-based prioritization and its application to inspection of valves in the water sector[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety. 2012(100): 67-74.
[6] KALLEN M J. Modelling imperfect mainten- ance and the reliability of complex systems using superposed renewal processes[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety. 2011(96): 636-641.
[7] XU Z G, JI Y D, ZHOU D H. Real-time reliability prediction for a dynamic system based on the hidden degradation process identification[J]. IEEE Transaction on Reliability, 2008, 57(2): 230–242
[8] WANG X. Wiener processes with random effects for degradation data[J]. Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 2010, 101: 340–351
[9] 钟强晖, 张志华, 梁胜杰. 基于多元退化数据的可靠性分析方法[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2011, 31(3): 544–551
ZHONG Q H, ZHANG Z H, LIANG S J. Reliability analysis approach based on multivariate degradation data[J]. Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice, 2011, 31(3): 544–551
[10] HUANG T T, WANG L, JIANG T M. Prognostics of products using time series analysis based on degradation data[C]// Prognostics & System Health Management Conference, 2010.
[11] HAO S, YANG J. Reliability analysis for dependent competing failure processes with changing degradation rate and hard failure threshold levels[J]. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 2018, 63(4): 1227–1234
[12] 翟亚利, 张志强, 钟强晖. 具有参数漂移特征的退化可靠性评估方法[J]. 海军工程大学学报, 2013, 25(2): 107-112.
ZHAI Y L, ZHANG Z Q, ZHONG Q H. Degradation reliability evaluation method of products with parameters digression feature. Journal of Naval University of Engineering, 2013, 25(2): 107-112.
[13] WANG X L, JIANG P, GUO B, et al. Real-time reliability evaluation based on damaged measurement degradation data[J]. Journal of Central South University. 2012, 19(11): 3162-3169.
[14] CHEN C. Using geometric Poisson exponentially in a compound Poisson production environment weighted moving average control schemes in a compound Poisson production environment[J]. Computers and Industrial Engineering. 2012, 63(2): 374-381.
